益诺思(688710):业绩短期承压 静待拐点出现

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 380 million yuan in 25H1, a year-on-year decrease of 38.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -15.19 million yuan, down 115.9% year-on-year, indicating a significant decline in performance due to a slowdown in domestic investment and financing, as well as increased market competition leading to lower sales order prices. The company is expected to benefit from improvements in domestic financing and increased investment in innovative drug development, potentially entering a new growth cycle with the ramp-up of capacity in Nantong Phase II [1] Group 1: New Orders and International Expansion - The company signed new orders worth 530 million yuan in 25H1, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.4%. The number of new projects in core businesses IND and NDA grew by 6.9% year-on-year. Notably, the number of new projects for small nucleic acid drugs and radioactive drugs showed significant growth, becoming new growth points. The company accelerated its overseas business development by expanding its international marketing network and participating in six major conferences, which helped to rapidly expand its global customer base [2] Group 2: Capacity Construction and R&D Innovation - The company is steadily advancing its capacity construction, with the Nantong Phase II facility of 24,000 square meters obtaining the experimental animal use license and entering the GLP simulation operation phase, expected to ramp up production in early 26. The expansion of the 1,800 square meter isotope facility and the construction of a new comprehensive laboratory in Huangshan are also underway. Additionally, the company increased its R&D investment, with R&D expenses accounting for 5.9% of revenue in 25H1, up 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, and has made progress in various innovative projects [3] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Based on the mid-year report for 25, the company has adjusted its revenue and gross margin forecasts downward while raising expense forecasts. The earnings per share estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised to 0.14/0.94/1.41 yuan, compared to previous estimates of 0.99/1.16/1.42 yuan. The target price is set at 43.24 yuan based on a 46 times PE ratio for comparable companies in 26, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]