FPG财盛国际：美国关键就业数据突然“爆雷”！金价惊现32美元“巨震”行情

Core Insights - The recent U.S. jobless claims data has shown a significant increase, reaching a four-year high, which has raised the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week to 90% [1] - The August Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.4% month-over-month, exceeding expectations, while the year-over-year increase was 2.9%, aligning with forecasts [1] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Poland and Russia, are expected to enhance the attractiveness of gold as an investment [2] Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims surged to 263,000, the highest in three years, overshadowing the August CPI report [2] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 3.1% year-over-year, consistent with predictions [1] - The likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve is now at 90%, with a 10% chance for a 50 basis point cut [1] Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices reached a historical high of $3,674 per ounce before consolidating for three consecutive days [3] - If gold surpasses $3,650 per ounce, it is expected to target the historical high, with subsequent targets at $3,700, $3,750, and $3,800 per ounce [3] - Conversely, if gold falls below $3,600 per ounce, initial support is at $3,550, followed by the April 22 high of $3,500 [3] Market Sentiment - The overall market sentiment for gold remains bullish, supported by economic slowdown, persistent inflation, and geopolitical developments [2] - The momentum indicators for gold are strong, suggesting a favorable outlook for the precious metal [4]