Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that population concentration in major cities is a global trend, and China is experiencing a similar shift, with expectations of significant population growth in urban areas [3][4][6] - Currently, 350 million people live in the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan areas, accounting for 24.7% of the national population [4] - By 2035, urbanization rates in China are projected to exceed 75% [4] Group 2 - Major urban clusters expected to attract over 50% of the population include the Pearl River Delta, Chengdu-Chongqing, Beijing-Tianjin, and Yangtze River Delta [6][7][9][13] - The Pearl River Delta is highlighted for its strong economic and cultural development, with cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen leading the way [7] - The Chengdu-Chongqing urban cluster has seen rapid growth in recent years, particularly in technology and manufacturing sectors [9] Group 3 - The Beijing-Tianjin urban cluster is recognized for its political and economic significance, with Beijing as a cultural and educational hub [11] - The Yangtze River Delta is noted for its economic and financial strength, with cities like Shanghai, Suzhou, and Hangzhou providing diverse opportunities [13] - The attractiveness of large cities is attributed to better resources, more job opportunities, and broader economic benefits that extend to surrounding areas [15] Group 4 - Future population density in China has the potential to increase, with provincial capitals possibly reaching populations of over 20 million and first-tier cities potentially hitting 40-50 million [16] - The influx of population into these cities is expected to create supply-demand tensions in the housing market, leading to potential price increases [16] - Recommendations for homebuyers include focusing on core urban clusters and considering surrounding smaller cities if first-tier cities are unaffordable [18][19]
不出意外,中国超50%人口,未来将流入这几座城市,房价或报复性反弹?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-12 05:22