Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Dongxing Securities maintains a "strong buy" rating for ZTO Express (02057), projecting net profits for the parent company to be 8.85 billion, 10.22 billion, and 11.53 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13.0X, 11.2X, and 10.0X [1] - ZTO Express, as a leader in the Tongda system, is expected to maintain a relatively stable profit level during price wars, indicating a strong margin of safety [1] - In the second quarter, ZTO Express achieved a business volume of 9.847 billion pieces, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.5%, with a market share of 19.5% [1] Group 2 - The adjusted net profit for Q2 was 2.053 billion [1] - The report anticipates an improvement in the profitability of the industry and the company in the second half of the year, as the environment shifts away from excessive competition [1] - The company is adjusting its business volume guidance and shifting its strategic focus to prioritize quality, expecting a reduction in incremental incentives for the second half, while the profitability per package is expected to rebound [1]
东兴证券:维持中通快递-W“强烈推荐”评级 预计下半年盈利情况将有好转