第一金PPLI李经理解析操作策略:(9.12)美国 CPI 创 1 月新高引市场连锁反应,黄金反弹动能凸显
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-12 06:27

Group 1: U.S. Economic Data Interpretation - U.S. CPI data exceeded expectations, with August's adjusted monthly CPI at 0.4%, the highest since January, and annual CPI at 2.9%, up from 2.7% [1] - Initial jobless claims rose to 263,000, the highest since October 2021, indicating a potential weakening in the U.S. job market [1] Group 2: Major Asset Price Trends - Gold prices rebounded after initial declines, closing at $3633.75 per ounce, while silver showed stronger performance with a 0.96% increase [2] - The U.S. dollar index fell to 97.47, supporting the rebound in precious metals, while U.S. Treasury yields reflected cautious economic outlook [2] Group 3: Energy Market - International oil prices declined, with WTI crude down 2.28% to $61.73 per barrel, amid concerns over demand [3] Group 4: Global Policy Movements and Market Events - The European Central Bank maintained interest rates at 2%, adjusting inflation forecasts for 2025 and 2026, indicating short-term inflation pressures [5] - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points in September, influenced by rising jobless claims and stable core PCE inflation [6] Group 5: International Trade and Economic Cooperation - The U.S. and Japan agreed to enhance economic cooperation and maintain discussions on macroeconomic and foreign exchange market dynamics [7] - Switzerland is exploring options to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs on its gold industry by potentially establishing local processing facilities [8]