9月12日【油价下跌】原油大降2%，2025年汽柴油降幅从“8分/升涨至3.5毛/升”，下次9月23日调价“恐大降”！

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment of gasoline and diesel prices in China reflects a significant decrease in crude oil prices, leading to a suspension of price hikes for the 18th time this year, with expectations of potential price drops in the upcoming adjustments [1][3][5]. Price Adjustments - The latest price adjustment on September 9 resulted in a decrease of 180 CNY/ton for gasoline and 175 CNY/ton for diesel, with current prices for 92 gasoline ranging from 7.05 to 7.15 CNY/liter, 95 gasoline from 7.55 to 7.65 CNY/liter, and 0 diesel from 6.75 to 6.85 CNY/liter [1][3]. - The next price adjustment is scheduled for September 23, with predictions indicating a possible decrease in prices due to the current trend of "easier to fall than to rise" in domestic oil prices [3][5]. Market Trends - Recent data shows that the domestic oil price has experienced a "2 drops and 3 suspensions" pattern over the last five adjustments, with a total price drop of 310 CNY/ton [3][5]. - The overall price reduction for gasoline and diesel in 2025 has been limited to 90-95 CNY/ton, with a decrease of 0.08 CNY/liter since early July [3][5]. Future Expectations - Analysts predict that if international oil prices continue to decline, the upcoming price adjustment on September 23 may see further reductions [7]. - Current geopolitical tensions and market conditions may still pose risks for potential price increases, despite the prevailing downward trend in oil prices [7].