上市不到3个月最高涨18倍!大牛股药捷安康能撑起700亿市值吗

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of药捷安康-B (02617.HK) surged significantly, reaching a peak increase of 131.26% on September 12, closing at 192.5 HKD per share, which represents a 77.09% increase for the day, pushing its market capitalization over 70 billion HKD. The company, which went public on June 23, saw its stock price rise over 18 times from its initial offering price of 13.15 HKD [2] Group 1: Product and Clinical Trials - The surge in market value is closely linked to the company's core product, Tinengotinib (TT-00420), which received clinical approval for a Phase II trial in treating HR+ and HER2- metastatic breast cancer [2] - Tinengotinib is a unique MTK inhibitor targeting key pathways including FGFR/VEGFR, JAK, and Aurora kinases, and is in the registration clinical stage for various hard-to-treat solid tumors [3] - The product is the first and only FGFR inhibitor in the registration clinical stage for treating recurrent or refractory cholangiocarcinoma, with significant market potential projected to grow to 3.1 billion USD by 2026 [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - Despite the stock market enthusiasm, the company has not yet approved any products for sale and has reported continuous losses over the years, with cumulative losses reaching 870 million CNY from 2022 to 2024 [4] - In the first half of 2025, the company continued to incur losses, with revenue dropping by 90.4% year-on-year to 986,000 CNY and a pre-tax loss of 123 million CNY [4] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of only 449 million CNY, with R&D costs of 98 million CNY for the first half of the year [4] Group 3: Competition and Market Landscape - The core product faces potential competition, with at least one FDA-approved FGFR-targeting MTK inhibitor and several others in clinical stages [5] - The competitive landscape includes multiple MTK inhibitors targeting FGFR, JAK, Aurora, and VEGFR pathways, indicating a crowded market for Tinengotinib [5]