AMZN Max Pain Points to a Price of $220 by October 17th

Core Insights - Amazon (AMZN) experienced a significant decline of 3.32% recently, with indications from the options market suggesting potential further downside, possibly settling around the 220 mark by mid-October [1][3]. Options Market Analysis - The Max Pain Theory suggests that as option expiration approaches, stock prices tend to gravitate towards the price where the most options will expire worthless, benefiting large institutions that are typically net sellers of options [2]. - The Max Pain level for AMZN on October 17th is identified to be approximately 220 [3]. Trading Strategy - A butterfly spread trade centered at the 220 strike is proposed, which involves buying a lower strike put, selling two middle strike puts, and buying one upper strike put, entered for a net debit [4][5]. - For the October 17 expiry, the trade would consist of buying the $200 strike put, selling two $220 strike puts, and buying one $240 strike put, with a total cost of around $660 and a maximum potential gain of approximately $1,340 [6]. Technical Analysis - The Barchart Technical Opinion rating for AMZN is a 100% Buy, indicating a strengthening short-term outlook, with long-term indicators supporting a continuation of the current trend [7]. - AMZN is rated as a Strong Buy by 47 analysts, with 6 Moderate Buy and 2 Hold ratings [7]. - The implied volatility for AMZN is 26.37%, with an IV Percentile of 27% and an IV Rank of 8.47% [8].