美银警告极端看涨美股情绪 黄金或成为避风港

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market continues to hit historical highs, with expectations for three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, shifting focus from tariff-related inflation risks to concerns about a slowing job market [1] - Michael Hartnett, Chief U.S. Equity Strategist at Bank of America, warns of "extreme bullish sentiment" among investors, which could signal potential market reversals [2] - The upcoming Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey may reveal this extreme bullish sentiment, often seen as a contrarian indicator for market reversals [2] Group 2 - In the past week, gold funds saw an inflow of $3.4 billion, marking the fourth-largest weekly inflow in history, driven by gold's inflation-hedging properties [3] - Hartnett introduces the investment concept "ABD" (Anything But the Dollar), indicating a shift in investment preferences, while AI themes remain strong [3] - The "BIG" strategy, which includes Bonds, International assets, and Gold, is emphasized, with a prediction that the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield will drop to around 4% [3] Group 3 - Market sentiment is expected to shift seasonally, favoring Europe in spring, China in summer, and Japan by year-end [4] - Bank of America maintains that gold is a tool for hedging against disorderly risks and dollar depreciation, with expectations for gold prices to potentially reach $3,700 by the end of the year [4]