Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-13 14:00Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce has initiated an anti-dumping investigation into imported analog chips from the United States, which may benefit domestic manufacturers if punitive tariffs are imposed on U.S. companies found guilty of dumping [2][13]. Group 1: Anti-Dumping Investigation - The Ministry of Commerce received a formal application for an anti-dumping investigation on July 23, 2025, from the Jiangsu Semiconductor Industry Association regarding U.S. analog chips [2]. - The investigation was officially launched on September 13, 2025, after the Ministry's preliminary review confirmed the applicant's qualifications and the impact of the imported products on the domestic industry [4]. Group 2: U.S. Export Controls - On September 12, 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce added 23 Chinese entities to its export control "entity list," which has been criticized by the Chinese government as a form of unilateral and bullying behavior [5]. - The Chinese government argues that such actions distort the global market and harm legitimate business rights, particularly in the semiconductor sector [5]. Group 3: Market Overview - The global analog chip market was valued at approximately $74 billion in 2021, with major U.S. companies like Texas Instruments, Analog Devices, and Skyworks holding nearly 40% of the market share [8]. - By 2024, the global analog chip market is projected to reach $79.43 billion, with China expected to account for about $45 billion, representing 58.5% of the global market [8]. Group 4: Domestic Industry Landscape - Despite the high demand in China, local manufacturers hold only about 11% of the global market share, primarily in low-end power management chips, while foreign companies dominate the high-end market [8][10]. - The Chinese analog chip industry is characterized by a "large but weak" profile, with many companies generating revenues below $5 billion, in stark contrast to Texas Instruments, which is projected to generate $15.64 billion in 2024 [10]. Group 5: Growth Potential - The Chinese analog chip market is expected to grow to approximately $43.99 billion by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.32% projected until 2030 [8]. - Domestic companies are increasingly focusing on sectors like automotive and industrial applications, with some achieving significant milestones in chip supply [11].