9月13日各大品牌金店最新报价出炉，黄金和金条价格都降了

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has surged past a 40-year historical high, reaching $3,674.27 per ounce, surpassing the inflation-adjusted record of $3,590 from 1980 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices have increased approximately 5% in September and nearly 40% since the beginning of the year [2]. - The recent spike in gold prices is attributed to rising unemployment claims in the U.S., which reached 263,000, a three-year high, alongside persistent core inflation and economic uncertainty [3]. - Despite the international market's enthusiasm, the domestic retail market and gold funds experienced a slight pullback on September 13 [3][4]. Group 2: Retail Pricing Strategies - Major brands like Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook have set gold jewelry prices at 1,078 yuan per gram, showing a slowdown in momentum compared to previous surges [4]. - Gold funds, such as Huaan Gold and Bosera Gold, reported minor declines of around 0.36%, with prices around 758 yuan and 748 yuan respectively [5][6]. - Different pricing strategies among retailers are notable, with some stores like Baoqing Silver Tower offering gold at 1,036 yuan per gram, significantly lower than mainstream prices [8]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The current gold price increase is fundamentally different from the speculative frenzy of the 1980s, reflecting deeper uncertainties in the global economy and geopolitical landscape [10][11]. - The investment environment has become more complex, with lower barriers to entry for gold investments through various ETF products, leading to a significant increase in institutional buying [14]. - Central banks have become major buyers of gold, diversifying their foreign reserves and reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar, which has bolstered gold's position as a reserve asset [15][16]. Group 4: Future Projections - Analysts from Goldman Sachs predict that gold prices could reach $3,700 by the end of 2025 and potentially exceed $4,000 by mid-2026 [17]. - A more aggressive scenario suggests that if there is a large outflow from dollar assets, gold prices could soar to between $4,500 and $5,000 [18]. - The ongoing global economic uncertainties, geopolitical risks, and continued central bank purchases are expected to support gold prices in the long term [22].