大量老房仍未拆除、120亿元“天价入股”遭紧急澄清 深圳旧改“巨无霸”绿景白石洲走向何方？

Core Viewpoint - The recent clarification from "CITIC City Opening South China" regarding the false rumor of a 12 billion yuan investment in the Green Scene Baishizhou project highlights the ongoing challenges faced by this significant urban renewal project in Shenzhen [1][3]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Green Scene Baishizhou project has been under the urban renewal plan since 2014, with a total planned construction area of 3.58 million square meters and an estimated value of 220 billion yuan [3]. - As of September 11, 2023, the first phase of the project, known as Green Scene Baishizhou Jingting, consists of 2,746 housing units, with 819 units registered and 179 units under purchase agreements, leaving 720 units available for sale, accounting for 41.4% of the total [3][4]. Group 2: Development Status - The first phase is nearing completion, with interior finishing expected to be completed by the end of this year [4]. - The second phase has been cleared for construction, while the third and fourth phases are undergoing regulatory adjustments to align with new Shenzhen regulations [4][10]. Group 3: Financial Dynamics - Vanke previously invested 2.3 billion yuan for an 8% stake in the project, with a profit-sharing agreement for the third and fourth phases [6]. - The agreement includes a "betting contract" clause, allowing Vanke to exit if certain development milestones are not met by specified deadlines, reflecting the financial pressures faced by Green Scene Group [6][8]. Group 4: Market Speculation - The denial of the investment rumor has not quelled speculation about potential capital movements related to the project, with expectations that state-owned enterprises may become involved in future developments [5][10]. - Analysts suggest that large state-owned enterprises are more likely to take over due to their lower capital costs and expertise in navigating complex government relations [11]. Group 5: Strategic Considerations - The project is located in a prime area of Nanshan District, which is expected to appreciate in value over time, making it an attractive opportunity for potential investors [10]. - The recent policy support from the central government for urban renewal projects may provide some assistance to Green Scene Group, although the company's financial viability remains uncertain [12][13].