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太平洋证券:板块轮涨 静待新高

Group 1: Market Overview - The bond market is expected to challenge new lows, with a target set for the low point of September 30, 2024 [1][5] - A-shares are showing a strong upward trend, particularly in the North Star 50 index, which is anticipated to lead the market [2][5] - The commodity market is expected to maintain a bullish outlook, with a focus on long positions [3][5] Group 2: Sector Performance - The chemical, agriculture, steel, and photovoltaic sectors are at historical lows, providing a higher margin of safety for investors [2] - Semiconductor and optical module sectors have reached their adjustment space, and holding positions is recommended for potential gains [2] - The innovative drug sector has shown resilience after a recent drop, indicating a buying opportunity for high-growth stocks [2] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The U.S. labor market shows signs of slowing, with August non-farm payroll data indicating a softening, which supports a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve [2] - The U.S. economy remains robust, with second-quarter GDP growth revised upward and corporate profits continuing an upward trend since 2021 [2] - China's social financing scale increased by 26.56 trillion yuan in the first eight months of 2025, indicating strong liquidity in the market [4]