油价：低库存支撑但供需转弱，行情或宽幅震荡

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices are expected to experience wide fluctuations due to multiple influencing factors, including geopolitical premiums and refinery support for high operating rates [1] Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - OPEC fulfilled its production increase commitments in August and is expected to continue this trend in the future [1] - There is a downward expectation for refined oil demand, which may contribute to pressure on oil prices [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - Low inventory issues in major pricing regions and frequent geopolitical events provide support for oil prices [1] - However, the consensus on weakening supply and demand in the medium term, along with OPEC's renewed push for increased production, is likely to put pressure on oil prices [1]