Core Viewpoint - The current global trade war has evolved into a stalemate where no party dares to make aggressive moves, highlighting the interdependence of economies, particularly between China and other nations [1] Trade Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, China's average monthly trade volume with over 190 countries exceeded 50 billion RMB, indicating China's integral role in global supply chains [3] - The U.S. continues to prioritize "national security" while its consumers bear the financial burden of tariffs, with each American household spending an additional $2,400 annually due to these tariffs [3] Global Reactions - Japan's Suntory warned that continued U.S. tariffs could lead to a GDP decline of over 1% for Japan, while the EU could face a loss of 290 billion euros if the trade war persists for four years [5] - Many countries, including 46 WTO member states, have united against U.S. tariff policies, realizing that alignment with the U.S. often leads to control rather than cooperation [9] China's Strategy - China has implemented zero tariffs for 29 countries, leading to a doubling of exports from countries like Nicaragua and Ecuador, showcasing China's willingness to foster trade relationships [5] - China's export structure has shifted towards high-tech industries, with significant growth in solar energy, electric vehicles, and industrial robots, indicating a move towards industrial upgrading [7] Future Outlook - The U.S. may struggle to contain the growing reliance of other countries on China, as many nations are increasingly placing their bets on China's production capabilities [12] - The ongoing trade tensions may lead to a scenario where the U.S. faces backlash before other countries can successfully detach from Chinese manufacturing [12]
关税战中全世界人认为是美国重要还是中国重要?正如沙特王储说,中国崩溃了,全世界都得倒下
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-14 15:34