晨会观点速递：维持较高仓位运行，择线上适度回归性价比与景气度

Group 1: Energy Storage and Lithium Battery Sector - The report from CITIC Securities continues to recommend the energy storage sector, highlighting increased willingness among owners to invest in self-generated storage due to significant price discounts in Shandong [1] - In the lithium battery sector, the market demand for 2025 has exceeded expectations, with the core concern now being whether the demand forecast for 2026 will be revised upwards [1] - Continuous monitoring of energy storage bidding, installation data, and policies related to vehicle trade-in programs for 2026 is advised, along with lithium battery production information [1] Group 2: Global Economic Outlook and Federal Reserve Actions - Galaxy Securities indicates that the recent rise in the U.S. CPI aligns with market expectations, keeping inflation within controllable limits, while the labor market shows signs of cooling [2] - The expectation of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has increased, likely leading to a weaker dollar and benefiting non-U.S. assets, particularly in emerging markets [2] - The anticipated 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to boost Asian stock markets and improve liquidity in the domestic market, supporting risk assets [2] Group 3: A-Share Market Strategy - Huatai Securities suggests maintaining a high position in the A-share market, with a focus on sectors showing strong trading activity and upward trends in the domestic economy [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of returning to value and growth dynamics in stock selection, particularly in sectors like domestic computing, innovative pharmaceuticals, robotics, chemicals, batteries, and leading consumer brands [3] Group 4: Green Transition in Cement Industry - Open Source Securities highlights the acceleration of green transformation in the cement industry, with a target to control cement clinker capacity to around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025 [4] - The report identifies key beneficiaries in the cement sector, including Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and Shangfeng Cement, due to expected improvements in energy efficiency and carbon reduction [4] - The glass fiber sector is also expected to benefit from favorable tariffs for companies with overseas production bases, enhancing profitability [4] Group 5: Metal Prices and Market Trends - Huayuan Securities notes that the expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve is driving an upward trend in copper and aluminum prices, with copper prices expected to rise due to a significant downward revision of U.S. non-farm employment figures [5] - Lithium prices are anticipated to recover as demand enters a destocking phase, while cobalt prices are also on the rise due to accelerated price increases in overseas markets [5] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring cobalt raw material import data and potential policy changes following the extension of export bans, which could lead to a rebound in cobalt prices [5]