Core Viewpoint - The current AI enthusiasm is leading to a heated debate about a "bubble," with OpenAI's Bret Taylor acknowledging that while a bubble exists, AI will ultimately create significant economic value [1][3]. Group 1: AI Bubble and Economic Value - Taylor agrees with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman that we are in an AI bubble, where many will incur substantial losses [1]. - He compares the current AI hype to the internet bubble of the late 1990s, noting that despite many companies failing, the long-term vision of the internet proved correct, as evidenced by the success of companies like Amazon and Google [1][2]. - Taylor asserts that both statements—AI will change the economy and many will lose money—can be true simultaneously, supported by historical precedents [3]. Group 2: Investment Trends and Market Maturity - Taylor emphasizes the importance of distinguishing between the correctness of direction and the success rate of specific investments, citing that many failed business models during the internet bubble laid the groundwork for future successes [2]. - He believes that the current massive investments in AI are paving the way for the next generation of applications, although not all participants will benefit [3]. - The market is still immature, leading to high costs and failures in AI investments, as many companies are engaging in "AI tourism" without achieving effective solutions [4][5]. Group 3: Future of AI Applications - Taylor predicts that building AI applications will evolve to be more about "how to use databases" rather than "how to write databases," indicating a shift in approach as models mature [4]. - He suggests that companies should focus on purchasing specialized AI solutions, like Sierra for customer service or Harvey for legal applications, to realize AI's true value [5]. - The current stage of AI is still early, with no outstanding vendor capable of addressing every business problem, necessitating either waiting for solutions or building them in-house [5].
OpenAI董事会主席：我们的确处在“AI泡沫”中，必然会出现巨大赢家，很多人会损失惨重
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-09-15 01:59