赵兴言：黄金周初开盘走弱要先跌？回撤3620继续看涨！

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of emotional control in trading, suggesting that both bullish and bearish positions can be profitable if approached correctly, while greed leads to failure [1] - It highlights the necessity of following market trends rather than opposing them, indicating that successful investing requires a deep understanding of market dynamics [1] Group 2 - This week, the U.S. economic calendar includes the release of August retail sales data on Tuesday, but market focus will likely shift to the Federal Reserve's policy announcement on Wednesday [3] - A potential unexpected 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve could lead to a significant sell-off of the dollar, boosting gold prices, while a more dovish outlook in the dot plot could weaken the dollar and affect gold negatively [3] - The article discusses the current technical analysis of gold, indicating it is in a high-level consolidation phase with key resistance at $3658, suggesting a bearish position if this level is tested and confirmed [5] - A trading strategy is proposed to buy gold on a pullback to the $3620-22 range, with a stop loss of $10 and a target of $3645-55, indicating a focus on stable returns for conservative investors [7]