金晟富：9.15黄金高位震荡反复多空博弈！日内黄金分析参考

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing increased activity as it enters a seasonal sales peak, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut due to signs of a weak labor market [2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of September 15, spot gold is trading around $3628 per ounce, with a slight increase of 0.26% last week, closing at $3643.21 per ounce, just below the peak of $3674 earlier in the week [2]. - Analysts remain bullish on gold, with some institutions predicting prices could rise above $3900 per ounce in the future [3]. - The Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision is anticipated to be a pivotal moment for gold prices, with expectations of a dovish signal potentially pushing prices higher [3]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The technical outlook for gold shows a consolidation phase, with key support levels at $3600 and $3500. A drop below these levels could indicate a shift in market sentiment [4][6]. - Current trading ranges are identified between $3615 and $3660, with expectations of limited movement until the Federal Reserve's decision [6]. - Short-term trading strategies suggest buying on dips around $3620 and selling on rebounds near $3657-3660, with strict stop-loss measures recommended [6]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The labor market's weakness is reinforcing expectations for a rate cut, which is expected to lower real interest rates and diminish the dollar's appeal, further supporting gold's value [3]. - The upcoming release of key economic data, including U.S. retail sales, is also crucial for market sentiment and gold price movements [2].