Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-15 04:02Core Viewpoint - Despite the mid-term performance of leading Chinese pharmaceutical distributors not turning profitable by the first half of 2025, there is structural optimism in the industry due to several factors [1] Industry Summary - Potential relaxation of mainland medical insurance spending may occur [1] - Volume-based procurement may see optimization, influenced by potential anti-involution measures in the healthcare sector [1] - Enhanced cash payment capabilities of medical insurance funds are expected [1] - The domestic interest rate reduction cycle will assist distributors in improving financial leverage [1] Company Summary - Citic Securities raised the target price for China National Pharmaceutical Group (01099) by 22.5%, from HKD 20 to HKD 24.5 [1] - Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (02607) H-shares target price increased by 15.4%, from HKD 12.3 to HKD 14.2 [1] - Target price for China Resources Pharmaceutical (03320) was lowered by 5.1%, from HKD 5.9 to HKD 5.6 [1] - All three companies maintain an "outperform the market" rating, with China National Pharmaceutical Group being the preferred choice [1]