业绩兑现大爆发，捕捉科技“芯”机遇

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that AI is no longer just a narrative but is translating into real orders and performance, as evidenced by Nvidia's market capitalization exceeding $4 trillion and significant profit growth in A-share optical module companies [2][3] - The technology market has shifted from "expectation-driven" to "performance-driven," with communication ETFs featuring over 40% optical module content becoming prominent in this trend [3][4] - The technology sector is experiencing a mixed upward trend driven by industry waves, favorable policies, and performance realization, with a focus on companies with clear orders and reliable capacity [4][5] Group 2 - The three driving forces for the industry are AI, policy, and performance, with strong resilience in tech stocks attributed to AI's influence [5][6] - Recent quarterly reports from leading cloud companies indicate that capital expenditures are exceeding market expectations, reinforcing positive demand signals in the optical module and PCB sectors [6][7] - The domestic semiconductor industry is expected to recover as wafer fabs gradually resume expansion, supported by improved market conditions and rising demand for storage [7][8] Group 3 - The anticipation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is influencing market sentiment, with a high probability of a 25 basis point cut in September [8][9] - Recent employment data in the U.S. showed a significant decline, raising concerns about the labor market and reinforcing expectations for a shift in monetary policy [9][10] - The semiconductor sector is poised for growth driven by AI demand, with significant opportunities arising from domestic substitution and supportive policies [18][19] Group 4 - Mid-year performance reports highlight substantial improvements in sectors related to computing power, particularly in optical modules and PCB industries, driven by product launches from Nvidia [12][13] - The domestic computing power sector is expected to see a boost as local companies ramp up production, with a focus on capital expenditure plans from major internet firms [14][16] - The semiconductor industry is entering a new growth phase, with AI demand being a key driver and ongoing policy support enhancing the investment landscape [18][19]