李迅雷：之前是港股拉动A股，接下来可能是A股来推动港股

Economic Outlook - The overall economic performance in China for the first half of the year shows a steady improvement, with GDP growth reaching 5.3% [4][5] - The nominal GDP growth was only 3.9%, indicating ongoing deflationary pressures [5][6] - Consumer spending has shown signs of weakness, particularly in July, despite a 5% growth in the first half of the year [6][7] Stock Market Analysis - A-shares and H-shares are currently undervalued compared to major overseas markets, suggesting significant room for valuation improvement [1][22] - The recent bull market in A-shares is primarily driven by declining interest rates and increased policy focus on stabilizing the stock market [1][6] - The financing balance in the stock market is currently at 2.49% of the circulating market value, which is not excessively high compared to the 4.7% peak in 2015 [20][21] Sector-Specific Insights - The valuation of the STAR Market's Sci-Tech 50 index has surged to a PE ratio of approximately 177, marking a new high since its inception [1][31] - The core drivers of the tech sector's performance are concentrated in the AI computing hardware supply chain [31] Currency and Market Correlation - The H-share market's performance is closely linked to the US dollar index, with a weaker dollar benefiting H-shares [34][40] - There is a potential for A-shares to drive H-shares upward, reversing the previous trend where H-shares led A-shares [41][42] Gold Market Perspective - Gold prices have recently surpassed $3,600 per ounce, with expectations of further increases due to global debt expansion and potential interest rate cuts [43][48] - The logic supporting gold's value remains intact, as global debt levels continue to rise, leading to currency overproduction [48][49]