Ge Long Hui·2025-09-15 09:03Core Viewpoint - Despite the increase in US tariffs and trade uncertainties, the container throughput at mainland ports grew by 7% year-on-year in the first half of the year [1] Group 1: Future Growth Projections - Goldman Sachs forecasts annual growth rates for container throughput of 4.6%, 2.7%, and 2.5% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a slowdown to 2% in the second half of 2025 [1] Group 2: Pricing and Contract Negotiations - China Merchants Port aims to increase contract prices by 2% in negotiations for 2026, while other operators expect no further price hikes beyond inflation adjustments [1] - Both China Merchants Port and COSCO Shipping Ports are optimistic about contract price growth for overseas terminals due to faster throughput growth and rising costs [1] Group 3: Profit Forecasts and Stock Ratings - Goldman Sachs raised net profit forecasts for China Merchants Port and COSCO Shipping Ports by 2% to 6% for the years 2025 to 2027 [1] - COSCO Shipping Ports is favored due to strong performance at European terminals and improved performance at Qianhai Port, with an expected dividend yield of 5% in 2025; target price increased from HKD 5.3 to HKD 6, rated "Buy" [1] - Target price for China Merchants Port increased from HKD 13.1 to HKD 14.2, rated "Neutral" [1]