Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-15 09:14Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities maintains an "overweight" rating for Hansoh Pharmaceutical, adjusting revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 due to expected large BD transaction payments [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The revenue forecast for 2025 is raised from 137.41 billion to 146.68 billion RMB, with expected revenues of 158.35 billion and 177.79 billion RMB for 2026 and 2027 respectively [1] - The net profit forecast for 2025 is increased from 47.46 billion to 51.67 billion RMB, with expected net profits of 53.25 billion and 61.33 billion RMB for 2026 and 2027 respectively [1] - In the first half of 2025, total revenue reached 74.34 billion RMB, with a net profit of 31.35 billion RMB [1] Group 2: Product Performance - Revenue from innovative drug products reached 61.45 billion RMB, accounting for 82.7% of total revenue [1] - The metabolic and other fields saw significant growth, with revenue from this segment approximately 14.00 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 134.5% [1] - The anti-tumor product portfolio, including Amatinib and Flumatinib, generated revenue of 45.31 billion RMB, remaining stable year-on-year [1] Group 3: Innovation and Clinical Development - Over 40 candidate innovative drugs are undergoing more than 70 clinical trials, with 8 new drugs entering clinical trials in the first half of 2025 [3] - Three drugs have entered Phase III clinical trials, including HS-20137 for psoriasis and HS-20093 and HS-20089 for sarcoma and ovarian cancer respectively [3] - The TYK2 inhibitor HS-10374 is also in Phase III trials, showing low skin toxicity risk [3] Group 4: Market Position and Growth - Amatinib, as the first domestic third-generation EGFR TKI, has seen rapid sales growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 214% from 2020 to 2024 [2] - Amatinib is expanding its indications related to NSCLC, with four approved indications and additional ones expected in 2025 [2] - The drug received approval from the UK MHRA in June 2025, marking Hansoh's first entry into the overseas market [2]