房价跌了三成，该全款买房还是贷款30年？内行人算明白3笔账

Core Insights - The rapid decline in housing prices has created a dilemma for potential homebuyers regarding whether to pay in full or opt for a mortgage [1][3] - The choice between full payment and mortgage significantly impacts long-term asset growth and financial stability [3][4] Group 1: Full Payment vs. Mortgage - Full payment eliminates interest payments and reduces financial stress related to loan repayments, providing negotiation advantages in property purchases [3][4] - The hidden cost of full payment is the loss of liquidity, making it difficult to access funds for emergencies or better investment opportunities [4][6] - Mortgage payments benefit from leverage, allowing for potentially higher returns on investment if property values increase [4][6] Group 2: Financial Considerations - Investors with the ability to achieve returns above 3% annually through stable investments may find mortgages more advantageous [6][7] - Future housing price trends are crucial; optimistic views on price increases favor leveraging through mortgages, while pessimistic views favor full payment to avoid negative equity [7][11] - Family financial stability is essential when considering a mortgage, as unstable income can lead to risks of foreclosure [7][11] Group 3: Case Studies - Case studies illustrate that leveraging through a mortgage can yield significantly higher total assets compared to full payment, especially in appreciating markets [8][11] - In scenarios where property values decline, full payment protects against negative equity, while mortgages can lead to substantial losses [11]