关乎未来数月市场命运！美联储接下来还会降息多少次？

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates for the first time in 2025, with a focus on the impact of a weak job market, persistent inflation, and increasing pressure from the White House [1][2] - The most recent dot plot indicated that Fed officials generally anticipate two rate cuts this year, with a consensus prediction of a 25 basis point cut in the upcoming meeting [1][2] - There are differing opinions on the aggressiveness of future rate cuts, with some economists predicting multiple cuts in the coming months, while others suggest a more cautious approach [3][4] Group 2 - Wilmington Trust's chief economist predicts that the Fed will maintain a neutral stance on future rate cuts, but expects three cuts by the end of this year and three more in early next year, bringing the policy rate down to a range of 2.75% to 3% [4] - Concerns about the labor market's weakness and potential negative GDP growth have led to predictions of a 50% chance of recession and worsening unemployment [5] - Former Kansas City Fed President George emphasizes the need for the Fed to balance its dual mandate of employment and inflation, noting that recent job market data has been disappointing [6]