“大幅降息”要来了？美联储明起议息，特朗普再度发声

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a significant interest rate cut during its upcoming meeting, with a high probability of at least a 25 basis point reduction [1][2][4] - Market sentiment is leaning towards a dovish tone from the Federal Reserve, influenced by recent economic indicators such as inflation and labor market conditions [2][4] - The Federal Reserve's decision-making will be closely scrutinized, particularly the language used in the meeting statement, the dot plot, and voting results, which will signal future monetary policy directions [3][4] Group 2 - The U.S. economy's growth forecast has been downgraded, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting a 1.4% growth in 2025, down from an earlier estimate of 1.9% [5][6] - Inflation is expected to rise to 3.1%, significantly higher than the previous forecast of 2.2%, while the unemployment rate is projected to reach 4.5% by the fourth quarter of 2025 [5][6] - The rising unemployment rate among African American individuals has been highlighted as a critical issue, with a current rate of 7.5%, indicating a worsening labor market situation [6][7]