马德里谈判前,美国下马威,最高对华加税100%,中方反手断美财路
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-15 11:24

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming US-China trade talks in Madrid on September 12, 2025, are marked by heightened tensions, particularly following the US's recent addition of 23 Chinese companies to its export control "entity list," which has provoked a strong response from China [1][3]. Group 1: Trade Negotiations - The negotiations will be the fourth formal talks since 2025, primarily focusing on a ceasefire agreement regarding the US-China tariff war, with a temporary agreement reached in July to suspend new tariffs until November 10 [1]. - The US has employed a strategy of pressure tactics before negotiations, including demands for TikTok's US localization by September 17 or face a ban, and rallying allies to impose punitive tariffs on Chinese goods [3]. Group 2: Economic Impact - Since the trade war began in 2018, China's exports to the US have decreased from 19% to 15%, while exports to ASEAN have surged, making ASEAN China's largest trading partner with a bilateral trade volume of $1.2 trillion [4]. - In the second quarter of 2025, US imports from China fell to $64.8 billion, the lowest quarterly figure in 19 years, with China’s new season soybean purchases from the US at zero, as over 80% of imports now come from South America [4]. Group 3: Technology and Financial Strategies - The technology sector has become a focal point in the US-China rivalry, with China initiating anti-dumping investigations on US-made chips and imposing significant fines on companies like Qualcomm, signaling a commitment to compete in the semiconductor market [6]. - China has been reducing its holdings of US Treasury bonds, decreasing by $18.9 billion to $765.4 billion, the lowest in 15 years, while increasing gold reserves to 73.77 million ounces, aiming to establish a reserve system less reliant on the US dollar [6]. Group 4: Challenges to US Policies - The US's strategy to rally allies for joint tariffs against China has seen limited success, as countries like the EU and South Korea are heavily dependent on the Chinese market, making participation in sanctions economically detrimental [7]. - Domestic challenges in the US, including rising prices and criticism from state governors and Republican lawmakers regarding tariff policies, pose significant hurdles to the effectiveness of the US's hardline approach [6].