近一个月近七成纯债基金净值下跌，债市调整何时结束

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has been rising since the third quarter, while the bond market is experiencing a continuous adjustment, with nearly 70% of pure bond funds showing negative returns in the past month [1][3]. Market Performance - As of September 15, the Shanghai Composite Index has increased by 12.08%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index have risen by 24.28% and 42.41%, respectively [3]. - The yield on the 10-year government bond has risen from 1.6553% on June 30 to 1.8615% by September 15, an increase of over 20 basis points [3]. Fund Performance - Among 4,329 pure bond funds, 3,015 have reported negative returns in the past month, accounting for nearly 70% [3]. - Over 22% of pure bond funds have negative returns year-to-date, with 914 funds showing losses [3]. Monetary Policy and Market Outlook - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 280 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at a rate of 1.4% on September 15, indicating a continued effort to support market liquidity [4]. - Analysts suggest that if the U.S. Federal Reserve announces a rate cut, it could narrow the interest rate differential between China and the U.S., potentially leading to a more accommodative monetary policy in China [5]. Diverging Opinions on Future Trends - Some analysts believe the bond market may see a rebound due to reduced selling pressure and seasonal liquidity support from the PBOC [5]. - Conversely, other experts caution that the bond market remains in a weak phase driven by fragile sentiment, making it difficult to predict future trends accurately [6][7].