伊通社编译版：全球油价下跌导致出口国面临预算赤字

Core Viewpoint - The global oil market is experiencing a downturn, leading to concerns among oil-exporting countries regarding budget deficits due to declining oil prices [1] Group 1: Oil Price Trends - The average oil price for 2023 is projected at $85.5, with a decrease to $77 in 2024, and the average price for the first nine months of this year is approximately $63 [1] - Oil prices have recently dropped from the $67-$68 range to the $65 range ahead of the OPEC+ meeting [1] Group 2: Factors Influencing Oil Prices - Two main reasons for the decline in oil prices are tariff policies and uncertainties in global economic growth, along with OPEC+ members increasing supply beyond demand [1] - Predictions from consulting firms like Goldman Sachs indicate that oil prices could fall below $60 in the winter of 2025 and 2026 unless there are significant changes such as increased U.S. sanctions, lower interest rates, or improved global economic growth [1] Group 3: Impact on Oil-Exporting Countries - Current oil prices are causing concern among oil-exporting countries, as most budgets are based on an oil price of $75, while Iran's budget is based on €65 [1] - The decline in oil prices is likely to result in budget deficits and reduced investments in oil-exporting countries [1]