Ge Long Hui·2025-09-15 20:34Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in adjusted net profit and gross margin due to intense competition in the instant retail sector, while new business revenues continue to grow but are impacted by overseas expansion losses [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 91.84 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 11.7% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 6.1% [1] - The gross margin was 33.1%, down from 41.2% in the same period last year [2] - Adjusted net profit was 1.49 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year decrease of 89.0% [1][2] - The adjusted profit margin was 1.6%, down 14.9 percentage points year-over-year and 11 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [1][2] Business Segments - Core local business revenue reached 65.35 billion yuan, up 7.7% year-over-year, with delivery revenue at 23.66 billion yuan (up 2.8% year-over-year) and commission revenue at 24.95 billion yuan (up 12.9% year-over-year) [1] - New business revenue was 26.49 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 22.8%, but incurred a loss of 1.88 billion yuan due to overseas expansion [1][3] Competitive Landscape - Intense competition in instant retail is squeezing the company's profits, with significant increases in delivery subsidies, rider costs, and user subsidies [2] - The company’s operating profit is under pressure due to the competitive landscape, which is influenced by competitors' strategies [2] Growth Prospects - The company is expanding its new business segments, with strong growth in instant retail and plans for further expansion in both domestic and international markets [3] - The company has established over 50,000 flash warehouses nationwide and is exploring new delivery models [3] Investment Outlook - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 374 billion, 427.7 billion, and 489.5 billion yuan respectively, with a projected net profit of -10.2 billion, 15.8 billion, and 38.5 billion yuan [3] - The target market capitalization for 2025 is set at 712.9 billion yuan, with a target price of 127.93 HKD [3]