2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-09-16 01:49Core Viewpoint - The A-share simulation chip sector experienced a significant surge following the announcement of an anti-dumping investigation by China's Ministry of Commerce against imported simulation chips from the United States, which is expected to alleviate pricing pressures and enhance profitability for domestic manufacturers [1][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The anti-dumping investigation targets general interface chips and gate driver chips, which are crucial components in various electronic devices [6]. - The U.S. accounts for over 50% of the global production capacity of related simulation chips, with major manufacturers including Texas Instruments, ADI, Broadcom, and ON Semiconductor [6]. - The price of the investigated products has reportedly decreased significantly, with dumping margins exceeding 300%, capturing an average market share of 41% in China [6][7]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the A-share simulation chip design sector achieved revenue of 24.405 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.12%, and a net profit of 502 million yuan, reflecting a substantial growth of 280.49% [2]. - Despite the overall profitability improvement, leading domestic simulation chip companies like Naxin Micro faced significant losses in 2023 and 2024, with net losses of 305 million yuan and 403 million yuan, respectively [2]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The simulation chip industry entered a downward cycle starting from Q4 2022, facing challenges such as high inventory and weak demand, but is expected to transition into an upward cycle beginning Q1 2025 as inventory levels normalize [2]. - The gross margin for the simulation chip design sector in the first half of 2025 was 35.34%, a slight decline of 0.51 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved to 1.91%, an increase of 1.34 percentage points [3]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The ongoing price war initiated by overseas manufacturers has significantly pressured the simulation chip sector, particularly in automotive, industrial, and communication fields [4]. - Texas Instruments announced a new round of price increases, indicating a shift in its competitive strategy, which may lead downstream customers to seek alternatives, thereby creating new opportunities for domestic chip companies [5]. - The anti-dumping investigation is anticipated to liberate domestic manufacturers from competitive pressures, potentially leading to a market expansion of 3.3 to 13.4 times for general interface chips and 1.6 to 8.8 times for gate driver chips in China [7].