Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-16 03:45Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing fluctuations due to rising gold prices and mixed performance among gold-related stocks, influenced by expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2] Group 1: Gold Market Performance - On September 16, gold prices opened high, driven by overnight highs in gold prices, while major indices retreated [2] - The gold stock ETF (159562) fell by 2.00%, with its constituent stocks showing varied performance, including significant declines in companies like Yuguang Gold Lead and Jiangxi Copper [2] - Over the past year, the gold stock ETF has seen a net value increase of 78.85%, leading the sector [2] Group 2: Fund Flows and ETF Growth - The gold stock ETF has attracted continuous capital inflow over the past 12 days, totaling 938 million yuan, reaching a new high in shares at 781 million and a total scale of 1.592 billion yuan [2] Group 3: Economic Indicators and Market Sentiment - The deteriorating U.S. job market has increased expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with a growing probability for a 50 basis point cut [2] - Shanghai Dongzheng Futures analysis indicates that rising gold prices are driven by regional political risks and reinforced expectations of Fed rate cuts, although caution is advised due to increased market volatility following historical highs [2]