9.16 市场经济衰退期，注意降息后的抛售风险

Group 1 - The market is currently in a state of fluctuation, with a significant focus on the upcoming interest rate cut, leading to a cautious approach from investors [1] - An interest rate cut typically results in lower yields on traditional safe assets, prompting capital to flow into higher-yield investments such as stocks, funds, and precious metals, which may positively impact Bitcoin (BTC) prices [1] - However, an interest rate cut may also signal economic recession, causing panic and risk aversion among investors, leading to a sell-off of non-core assets, including stocks and BTC, in favor of cash [1] Group 2 - Historical data shows that in 2019, the Federal Reserve cut rates three times, leading to a significant rise in BTC prices before a sharp decline when the cuts were realized, indicating a "buy the rumor, sell the news" phenomenon [3] - In March 2020, an interest rate cut initially caused a market crash, but subsequent monetary easing led to a massive influx of capital into BTC, resulting in a bull market that peaked at $69,000 [3] - Current economic indicators, such as a rising unemployment rate of 4.3% and high inflation, suggest a potential market downturn, with the possibility of a significant sell-off following the upcoming interest rate cut [3]