被殃及的中欧陆上通道

Group 1 - The "West-2025" joint military exercise between Russia and Belarus involved approximately 7,000 soldiers, significantly smaller than the 200,000 troops mobilized for the "West-2021" exercise before the Ukraine war [2][6] - Poland has fully closed all border crossings with Belarus, which is a critical move affecting the land transport route between Central Europe and China [5][10] - The Suwalki Corridor, a 65-kilometer narrow strip connecting Poland and Lithuania, is identified as a potential flashpoint for conflict between Russia and NATO [6][7][8] Group 2 - The closure of the Polish-Belarusian border will disrupt the China-Europe railway transport routes, impacting logistics and increasing costs for freight companies [17] - In 2023, the freight value of the China-Europe Railway Express reached $56.7 billion, with projections exceeding $60 billion in 2024, driven by the popularity of Chinese e-commerce platforms in Europe [15][16] - The China-Europe Railway Express is considered a flagship project for cooperation between China and Poland, emphasizing the need for safe and smooth passage to maintain international supply chain stability [19] Group 3 - The current geopolitical tensions have led to a search for alternative transport routes, such as the newly initiated China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway, which aims to connect China to Europe via Central Asia [29] - The potential alternative routes face significant challenges, including the need for new infrastructure and geopolitical tensions in regions like Iran and Turkey [34][41] - The fragmentation of international trade and the reorganization of supply chains since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war highlight the complexities faced by the China-Europe Railway Express [42][43]