盾博DBG Markets：美联储会因就业疲软而降息吗？

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve officials are expected to implement interest rate cuts to address the weakening labor market in the U.S. This marks a shift in monetary policy after a period of inaction due to inflation concerns related to tariffs [1][4] - President Trump has been pressuring for significant rate cuts, adding uncertainty to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. The final attendance list for the meeting may be confirmed on the evening before, with a new board member being confirmed by the Senate [1][4] - The upcoming press conference by Chairman Powell will provide insights into the latest economic forecasts and potential future interest rate directions [4] Group 2 - Analysts note that while officials may agree on rate cuts, disagreements regarding labor market conditions and inflation risks could hinder more aggressive measures. Continuous deterioration in the labor market is necessary for further rate cuts to be considered [4][5] - The composition of the Federal Reserve's voting members is under scrutiny, especially with the recent appointment of Trump's ally, Stephen Moore, which raises questions about the independence of the board [4][5] - There is internal division within the Federal Reserve regarding the expected 25 basis point rate cut, with some officials advocating for larger cuts while others prefer to maintain current rates due to concerns over labor market and inflation [5]