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龙佰集团(002601):业绩短期承压 布局海外产能 静待景气回暖

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling prices of titanium dioxide despite a slight increase in sales volume [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 13.342 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.385 billion yuan, down 19.53% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company recorded revenue of 6.282 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.50% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.01%, with a net profit of 699 million yuan, down 9.24% year-on-year but up 1.90% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Industry Overview - The domestic titanium dioxide industry operated steadily in the first half of 2025, with a total production of 2.305 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.37% year-on-year. The apparent consumption increased by 2.88% to 1.4281 million tons [2]. - The company produced 682,200 tons of titanium dioxide in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.02%, with sales of 612,000 tons, up 2.08% year-on-year [2]. Price Dynamics - The average price of rutile titanium dioxide in the first half of 2025 was 14,418 yuan per ton, down 11.03% year-on-year. The price gap for titanium dioxide narrowed significantly by 26.58% to 7,083 yuan per ton due to rising sulfur prices [2]. Strategic Initiatives - In response to deteriorating trade conditions, the company is actively pursuing an overseas expansion strategy to mitigate the impact of anti-dumping measures on its exports. This includes establishing new factories abroad to be closer to end markets [3]. - The company maintains a strong position in the titanium dioxide and sponge titanium markets, with a production capacity of 1.51 million tons per year for titanium dioxide and 80,000 tons per year for sponge titanium, ranking among the top globally [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.837 billion yuan, 3.532 billion yuan, and 4.307 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 1.19, 1.48, and 1.81 yuan, and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 16, 13, and 11 times respectively [3].