美联储九月点阵图预测：2025年还能降息几次？

Group 1 - The September dot plot indicates a shift from relative concentration in June to significant divergence among FOMC members regarding interest rate paths [1] - Some officials favor lowering rates to 3.25%, while others prefer maintaining rates around 4.0%, advocating for a wait-and-see approach [1] - A new member, Stephen Miran, may support lower rates, potentially altering the committee's structure and dynamics [1] Group 2 - Predictions suggest a range of potential rate cuts, with some forecasting one cut, others two, and some even three cuts, with varying degrees of reduction [2][3] - The possibility of a 50 basis point cut is also mentioned, indicating a more aggressive approach by some members [3]