Deutsche Bank raises 2026 gold forecast to $4,000 as bullion hits record highs

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank has raised its gold price forecast for next year to an average of $4,000 per ounce, citing strong central bank demand, potential U.S. dollar weakness, and a resumed Federal Reserve rate-easing cycle [1]. Group 1: Gold Price Forecast - The forecast was increased from a previous expectation of $3,700 per ounce, reflecting downside risks to the Federal Reserve's base case of holding rates steady in 2026 after three anticipated rate cuts in 2025 [1][3]. - Official gold demand is continuing at twice the pace of the 2011-2021 average, primarily driven by China [3]. - The price of gold has risen about 40% year-to-date and reached a record high of $3,702.95 [4]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - Strong central bank demand and potential U.S. dollar weakness are key factors supporting the increased gold price forecast [1]. - Uncertainty from changes in the Federal Open Market Committee's composition and challenges to Fed independence are also seen as supportive for gold prices [2]. - The supply of recycled gold is running 4% below expected levels this year, easing limits on gold's upside [3]. Group 3: Silver Price Forecast - Deutsche Bank has raised its silver price forecast for 2026 to an average of $45 per ounce, up from $40 [4].