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X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-30 08:58
The EU should water down its new capital rules for banks by ensuring that certain elements never fully bite, according to Deutsche Bank CFO James von Moltke https://t.co/aE3R2FhukP ...
4000美元不是梦? 这些因素影响未来金价走势
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 23:52
德意志银行认为,各央行与交易所交易基金正成为主要推动力。 受美国降息预期、对美国政府可能停摆的担忧以及地缘政治紧张局势升级影响,投资者选择涌入避险资产,黄金价格周一首次突破3800美元,创下历史新 高。纽约商品交易所12月交割的COMEX黄金期货结算价上涨1.2%,报3855.2美元/盎司。市场分析认为,包括美元指数走弱、央行购买及黄金ETF热销等 因素或将继续主导未来的黄金走势。 多重利好助推 美国商务部上周五公布的数据显示,美联储最倚重的通胀指标核心个人消费支出(PCE)环比上涨0.2%,同比稳定在2.9%。符合预期。 根据芝商所(CME)美联储观察工具(FedWatch Tool)的数据,交易员目前预计美联储在10月降息的概率接近90%,12月再次降息的概率约为65%。 Capital分析师罗达(Kyle Rodda)表示:"美国此次温和的通胀数据,让市场有理由相信美联储在年内进一步降息。"他进一步分析称,"当前市场情绪非 常乐观,本周金价有望再次测试历史新高。不过,目前黄金市场的多头仓位较重,这可能成为未来金价上行需谨慎的一个原因。" 投资者也在关注美联储独立性问题。美国总统特朗普提名米兰(Steph ...
SWIFT Goes Onchain as Consensys Builds Prototype – 30 Banks Eye 24/7 Settlement
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 16:08
Swift, the financial messaging provider, today announced it is working with Consensys and a consortium of global banks to add a blockchain-based shared ledger to its technology stack. In a press release, Swift said that, unlike its traditional role as a communications network, this move into a shared ledger will allow it to record, sequence, and validate financial transactions directly, creating a backbone for tokenized value exchange between institutions. Global Banks Join Early Design Phase Work is ...
黄金飞升,谁在“爆买”?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-09-29 12:29
与之相反,珠宝需求对价格极为敏感,金价上涨会导致珠宝需求减少。同样出人意料的是,珠宝需求增加反而可能是金价的"利空信号", 因为只有当金价下跌时,珠宝需求才会回升。 周一,现货黄金价格再创历史新高,触及3830美元关口,今年迄今已累计飙升逾45%。 黄金ETF和金价的每周波动 这一结论与布鲁金斯学会(The Brookings Institution)学者罗宾·布鲁克斯(Robin Brooks)的观点不谋而合。罗宾·布鲁克斯在X平台上发 文称,"市场并非在交易美元贬值,而是在交易各类法定货币相对黄金的普遍贬值",这是"全球债务危机的信号"。 随着黄金价格再度刷新历史高位,一家头部银行指出,当前市场中有两股"主动买盘力量"是推动金价飙升的关键:各国央行与交易所交易 基金(ETF)。 在谈及黄金上涨的核心动力时,德意志银行的迈克尔·薛认为,"并非所有需求都具有同等影响力"。他指出,来自各国央行的官方需求对 价格不敏感——过去三年,央行每年新增黄金需求400至500吨,而这一增长恰好与金价大幅上涨同期出现。 德意志银行周一发布的报告显示,ETF对黄金定价的影响力,较过去三年提升了50%。这一数据也为该行9月17日 ...
黄金涨势动能续上?德银:除了央行“淘金热”,ETF需求强势回归
智通财经网· 2025-09-29 11:13
Hsueh 表示:"这就解释了为什么我们不会将珠宝需求的下降视为对黄金价格不利的因素。相反,如果 珠宝需求有所增加,那很可能就会对金价产生不利影响,因为这很可能需要更低的黄金价格作为激励条 件。" 最后,如果ETF的增持确实对黄金的上涨起到了重要作用,那么也就可以推断出,如果这些资金流入停 止或出现逆转,那将会构成一种下行风险。Hsueh 补充道,通常情况下,当美国国债收益率下降时,投 资者会更倾向于增加ETF中的黄金持仓量。 德意志银行分析师Michael Hsueh说道:"ETF需求如此强劲地重新回归市场,这表明存在两种针对黄金 的'积极买家'行为,一种来自中央银行,另一种来自ETF投资者。这有助于解释为何黄金的表现一直优 于预期。在我们看来,美联储的宽松倾向应会使 2026 年 ETF 持有量更有可能上升而非下降。" 自 2021 年以来,各大央行每年都在增持约 400 至 500 吨的黄金。 其他需求来源的作用则相对减弱。珠宝购买需求依然具有很强的弹性,价格上涨时需求会下降。硬币和 铸币的需求通常对价格不敏感,但影响力较小;而回收黄金供应则对价格敏感,因此是影响价格波动的 一个因素。 智通财经APP获 ...
Gold hit a new record. What Deutsche Bank says is driving the price of the metal
MarketWatch· 2025-09-29 11:10
As the price of gold chalks up yet another all-time high, there are two "aggressor bids†in the market right now that are responsible for the surge: central banks and exchange-traded funds, a leading ... ...
DWS Group's David Bianco: Stay with tech, but pick the winners & look elsewhere
Youtube· 2025-09-26 16:37
Let's turn to the broader market action this morning. Joining us here at Post 9 is DWS Group America's CIO David Biano. Welcome, David.It's good to have you. And today we we've got a nice broad rally, although NASDAQ is actually lagging for a change. Do you buy into the the broadening trend that this rally continues and it doesn't have to be led by big tech.>> It's a Friday morning and and not too bad. It's been a bit of a tough week though for those arguing for the the broadening of uh the equity market. U ...
德意志银行在理想汽车-W的持股比例于09月23日从12.92%升至13.05%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-26 09:23
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,9月26日,香港交易所信息显示,德意志银行在理想汽车-W的持股比例于09月23日从 12.92%升至13.05%。 ...
Risk Asia Awards 2025: The winners
Risk.net· 2025-09-25 15:00
The Risk Asia Awards are judged by Risk.net’s Asia editorial team, by weighing a number of factors, including risk management, creativity and innovation, liquidity provision, quality of service and engagement with regulatory issues.The first set of winner profiles for the Risk Asia Awards 2025 can be found below, with the remaining winner articles set to be published in the coming days.Read the profiles of this year’s winners below:Derivatives house of the year, Asia: UBSDerivatives house of the year, Japa ...
Brazil's Ambipar secures court protection amidst Deutsche Bank debt dispute
Reuters· 2025-09-25 13:47
Brazilian waste management company Ambipar has secured a preliminary injunction from a Rio de Janeiro state court temporarily preventing the accelerated maturity of its debt, according to a decision s... ...