新加坡华侨投资基金管理有限公司：不受关税与信心低迷影响，美消费者支出保持稳定

Core Insights - The article highlights the continuous growth of U.S. retail sales for the third consecutive month, indicating a robust performance in the consumer market during the summer of this year [1]. Retail Sales Performance - According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, the seasonally adjusted retail sales increased by 0.6% month-over-month, remaining consistent with the growth rate from July. Excluding the automotive sector, retail sales rose by 0.7% [1]. - Among the thirteen retail categories analyzed, nine experienced positive growth, with online retailers, clothing stores, and sporting goods stores showing particularly strong performance, attributed to back-to-school demand. In contrast, while automotive sales continued to grow, the pace of growth has slowed [3]. Consumer Spending Trends - Despite facing multiple pressures such as tariffs increasing prices on certain goods, persistent low consumer confidence, and signs of fatigue in the labor market, U.S. consumers have demonstrated a strong willingness to spend. The report notes that although overall wage growth has slowed, many workers' income increases still outpace inflation [5]. - The rise in U.S. stock markets has also provided additional income for certain groups, particularly high-income households, further supporting their spending capacity [5]. Economic Implications - Consumer spending, which accounts for approximately two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, remains a key indicator monitored by the Federal Reserve. Currently, policymakers are closely observing retail dynamics and employment market conditions to assess the direction of future interest rate adjustments [7]. - There is a general market expectation that the Federal Reserve will announce a rate cut in the upcoming meeting to mitigate potential further weakness in the labor market, although the full impact of the implemented tariff policies on final prices is yet to be comprehensively evaluated [7].