0917：准备拿黄金多单过夜，会是惊喜还是惊吓？！

Group 1 - The article discusses the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision, which is expected to be highly divided among members, with a general market expectation of a 25 basis point cut [3] - There are four factions within the Federal Reserve regarding the interest rate decision: a significant rate cut faction, a moderate cut faction, a no change faction, and a rate hike faction [3] - A "mysterious trader" is betting on a potential 50 basis point cut, indicating a more dovish outlook than the current market expectations [4] Group 2 - The CME's federal funds futures market has seen unprecedented trading activity, suggesting that traders are preparing for a possible dovish surprise from the Federal Reserve [4] - If the Federal Reserve implements two 50 basis point cuts or three consecutive 25 basis point cuts in the last three meetings of the year, it could lead to significant profits for those holding certain contracts [4] - The current pricing in the swap market indicates an expected cumulative rate cut of about 70 basis points before the December meeting [4]