世贸组织报告：人工智能有望推动全球贸易增长

Core Insights - The World Trade Organization (WTO) predicts that with appropriate policy support, the application of artificial intelligence (AI) could drive global trade growth by nearly 40% by 2040 [1] - AI is expected to significantly enhance global trade and GDP growth, with trade volumes projected to increase by 34% to 37% and global GDP by 12% to 13% by 2040, depending on policy and technological advancements [1] - The WTO emphasizes the potential of AI to reduce trade costs and improve productivity, but highlights the uneven ability of different economies to access AI technology and participate in digital trade [1] Trade and AI Development - Trade can facilitate access to AI and the necessary investments for its development, promoting innovation and opening new pathways for growth [1] - To harness the potential of AI in trade, stakeholders must take deliberate actions to bridge the digital divide and promote regulatory consistency [1] Policy Recommendations - The report notes a significant increase in restrictions on AI-related goods, from 130 measures in 2012 to nearly 500 by 2024, urging the need for open and predictable trade policies [1] - Strengthening international cooperation, particularly in the intersection of AI and trade, is essential for broader participation in AI development across economies [1] - The WTO is positioned to play a central role in ensuring that AI supports inclusive trade-led growth [1]