Fed Cuts But Markets Waver On Mixed Signals

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% and indicated that two more cuts may occur later this year, which was described by Powell as a "risk management" move [2][6] - The market reaction was mixed, with the Dow closing higher while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced losses, reflecting confusion over the Fed's growth and inflation forecasts [3][6] - The domestic "Buy" cycle that began on November 21, 2023, ended on April 3, 2025, due to a market downturn caused by President Trump's tariff policy announcement, followed by a rebound leading to a new "Buy" signal effective May 20, 2025 [4][6] Group 2 - The International Trend Tracking Index (TTI) experienced volatility, issuing a "Sell" recommendation on April 4, 2025, but later regained momentum to issue a new "Buy" signal effective May 8, 2025 [5][8] - As of September 17, 2025, the Domestic TTI was +6.16% above its moving average, while the International TTI was +11.32% above its moving average, indicating positive market trends [7][8]