当前的市场环境下，牛市下阶段如何跑出超额收益？

Group 1 - The market is transitioning from liquidity-driven to a dual-driven phase of policy and profitability, with the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing around 3900 points and trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan for 15 consecutive days [1] - The manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2 in September, indicating a return to expansion for the first time in six months, while the non-manufacturing PMI reached 51.7, showing a continuous recovery [1] - Over 60% of stocks have underperformed the index, highlighting a concentration of funds in policy-supported sectors, as the central bank's actions provide financial support for the bull market [1] Group 2 - The focus should be on two main directions: technology manufacturing supported by policy, benefiting from equipment upgrades and domestic substitution, and the consumption upgrade sector with high profit certainty, as indicated by the recovery in the service PMI [2] - To achieve excess returns, three key strategies should be followed: tracking the pace of special bond issuance, focusing on sectors with project commencement rates above 60%, and investing in liquidity-sensitive sectors during the Fed's rate-cutting cycle [2] - A "core + satellite" investment strategy is recommended, holding high-dividend blue chips as core positions while capturing opportunities in niche sectors driven by industrial policy [2]