美联储降息25个基点 年内或再降息两次

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate target range to between 4.00% and 4.25%, aligning with market expectations [1] - This marks the first rate cut of 2025 and follows three rate cuts in 2024, with indications of two more cuts expected this year [1][3] - The Federal Open Market Committee noted a slowdown in economic activity in the first half of the year, with employment growth decelerating and a slight increase in the unemployment rate, although it remains at historically low levels [1] Group 2 - Inflation rates have risen and remain relatively high, with the Fed's monetary policy goals focused on achieving full employment and stabilizing long-term inflation at 2% [1] - The committee expressed concerns about the uncertainty in the economic outlook and acknowledged the rising risks to achieving its dual mandate, leading to the decision to initiate rate cuts [1] - The voting outcome for the rate cut was 11 to 1, with Stephen Milan being the sole dissenting vote advocating for a 50 basis point cut [1] Group 3 - The Fed's latest economic outlook indicates that 9 out of 19 officials believe there will be two more rate cuts by the end of 2025, with one official suggesting a total cut of 1.25% this year [3] - Historically, the Fed has utilized the dollar's dominance to adjust interest rates in a manner that serves U.S. interests, impacting global wealth distribution [3][5] - From March 2022 to July 2023, the Fed raised rates 11 times, totaling 525 basis points, reaching the highest level since 2001 [5]