华福证券：建材产能周期有望迎来拐点 板块整体有所修复

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the building materials sector is expected to reach an inflection point due to accelerated supply-side reforms and declining interest rates, which may restore home buying willingness and capability, thereby stabilizing the real estate market fundamentals [1][3] - The building materials sector shows signs of overall recovery, with profitability improving from the bottom. In the first half of 2025, listed companies in the building materials sector achieved total revenue of 305.53 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.9%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 43.7% [1] - The cement industry is recovering due to a rebound in prices, although downstream demand has not yet improved. In the first half of 2025, the cement sector generated revenue of 179.6 billion, down 5.4% year-on-year, but net profit increased significantly to 4.29 billion, up 903.8% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The glass industry is under pressure, while the glass fiber sector is experiencing a demand recovery. In the first half of 2025, the glass manufacturing sector reported revenue of 22.06 billion, down 18.1%, and a net profit of 530 million, down 72.7% [2] - The glass fiber manufacturing sector achieved revenue of 31.1 billion, up 20.9%, and a net profit of 3.29 billion, up 127.0%, benefiting from structural improvements in downstream demand and price recovery [2] - Leading companies in the consumer building materials sector are starting to recover, while small and medium-sized enterprises are generally under pressure. In the first half of 2025, 37 renovation material companies achieved revenue of 72.76 billion, down 7.7%, and a net profit of 3.7 billion, down 31.1% [2] Group 3 - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on three main lines: high-quality companies benefiting from stock reform, such as Weixing New Materials and Beixin Building Materials; undervalued stocks benefiting from credit risk alleviation, such as Sankeshu and Dongfang Yuhong; and leading cyclical building materials companies with bottoming fundamentals, such as Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement [3]