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美联储降息靴子落地!如何影响大类资产?资金用脚投票,坚定涌入这三大方向!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-18 06:04

Group 1: Federal Reserve Rate Cut - The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its first rate cut in nine months since December of the previous year [1] - This rate cut is viewed as a "preventive rate cut" aimed at stimulating economic activity and supporting the job market while mitigating the risk of a hard landing for the U.S. economy [1][2] - Analysts note that the Fed's decision reflects a balance between addressing employment concerns and managing inflation, with employment risks taking precedence over inflation worries [1] Group 2: Impact on Asset Classes - The rate cut is expected to lower financing costs and enhance liquidity, leading to a depreciation of the U.S. dollar, which could benefit commodities like gold and copper [1] - Emerging markets, particularly A-shares, are anticipated to strengthen as a result of the rate cut [1] - Long-term interest rates are likely to decline, benefiting growth sectors and interest-sensitive industries such as technology stocks in Hong Kong and the STAR Market [1] Group 3: Commodity Market Outlook - The rate cut is expected to improve macroeconomic growth expectations, leading to a potential rebound in industrial commodities [2][4] - Precious metals like gold are projected to experience price resilience due to their anti-inflation properties, despite a short-term price correction following the rate cut [5] - Industrial metals such as copper and aluminum are expected to show strong performance due to their financial attributes being enhanced in a depreciating dollar environment [5] Group 4: Investment Trends in the Metal Sector - The market is seeing significant inflows into the Nonferrous 50 ETF (159652), driven by expectations of a bullish trend in the nonferrous metal sector due to overseas inflation [3] - The demand for nonferrous metals is anticipated to rise as economic growth expectations improve, further pushing up prices [4] - Despite a short-term pullback in the Nonferrous 50 ETF following the rate cut, there remains strong investor confidence in the long-term value of the sector, with substantial net subscriptions recorded [5][9] Group 5: Hong Kong Market Response - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to benefit from the Fed's rate cut, with historical data showing positive short-term effects on the market following previous rate cuts [10] - Growth sectors such as technology, consumer discretionary, and pharmaceuticals are likely to see positive impacts in the short term, with potential for foreign capital inflows if synchronized monetary easing occurs [10] - The Hong Kong Technology 30 ETF (520980) has attracted significant investment, reflecting strong market interest in top technology assets amid the AI wave [11][13]