Prediction: This Is What Amazon's Stock Will Be Worth by 2030

Core Viewpoint - Amazon has the potential to be a top growth stock due to its strong base business and rapidly growing divisions, particularly in advertising and cloud computing [1][2]. Group 1: Business Segments and Growth Drivers - Amazon's North American commerce divisions generated $7.5 billion in operating profit on $100 billion in sales in Q2, indicating that the e-commerce segment is not as profitable as perceived [4]. - The advertising services division is the fastest-growing segment, with a 23% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2, contributing significantly to Amazon's overall operating profits [5]. - Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported a 33% operating margin, benefiting from the AI arms race as clients rent computing resources for AI model training, despite a decrease from Q1's 39% margin due to increased spending on capacity [7]. Group 2: Market Trends and Projections - The global cloud computing market is projected to grow from $752 billion in 2024 to $2.39 trillion by 2030, indicating strong future demand for AWS [8]. - Amazon's operating profits increased by 31% in Q2, and a conservative growth rate of 20% is projected through 2030, leading to an estimated $210 billion in operating profits by the end of that year, a 172% increase from current levels [9][11]. - If Amazon maintains a valuation of 25 times operating profits, the company could reach a market cap of $5.3 trillion, translating to a stock price of approximately $492 by 2030 [11][12].