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研报掘金丨华福证券:首予陕西能源“买入”评级,目标价11.52元

Core Viewpoint - Shaanxi Energy leverages its coal resources in Shaanxi and Northwest China to implement a coal-electricity integration strategy, focusing on combined heat and power generation and comprehensive utilization [1] Business Segments Summary - The revenue distribution for 2024 is projected to be 76% from electricity, 21% from coal, and 2% from heat, with corresponding gross profit contributions of 65%, 35%, and -1% respectively [1] - The company's coal products primarily consist of thermal coal and chemical coal, with a dual approach of internal consumption and external sales to maximize profits based on coal price fluctuations [1] Operational Efficiency - The company achieves a balance between electricity generation capacity and coal production, with a coal-electricity integration and pithead power station capacity accounting for 61.57%, highlighting significant cost advantages [1] - 42.43% of the coal-electricity units are part of the "West-East Power Transmission" project, supporting electricity growth with strong cost and utilization hour guarantees [1] Competitive Positioning - Shaanxi Energy is recognized as a leading enterprise in the "coal-electricity-heat" full industry chain, demonstrating stronger profit stability compared to ordinary thermal power companies due to its coal-electricity integration advantages [1] - The company is better positioned to withstand performance declines during periods of falling coal prices compared to coal companies, and offers greater flexibility in internal consumption and external coal sales compared to other coal-electricity integrated enterprises [1] Financial Outlook - The company is expected to maintain stable and high dividend levels with potential for improvement, with a target price of 11.52 yuan based on a 16x PE for 2025, reflecting a valuation premium compared to comparable companies with an average PE of 12.3 [1]